Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Economy expected to grow 8.1% in 2008/09: RBI survey

A survey of professional forecasters by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) showed that the Indian economy is expected to grow 8.1% in the 2008/09 fiscal year that began this month. In 2007/08, the gross domestic product is estimated to have grown 8.7%.

RBI announces its annual monetary policy review tomorrow, 29 April 2008.

Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its latest report on macroeconomic and monetary developments in 2007/08, has said that the global food prices were likely to remain firm as supply side pressures did not appear to be abating. The central bank said steps takes by the government to rein in prices should help curb inflation. It however said the inflation risks on account of oil prices remain incipient.

RBI has noted that freely priced fuel items such as naphtha had increased substantially since February 2007 alongside rising global oil prices, while prices of petrol and diesel, which are government-controlled, had partially adjusted. But prices of kerosene and cooking gas had not been raised by the government for several years.

RBI felt there were some demand-side pressures. Domestic iron and steel prices saw a sharp increase in line with recent hardening in international steel prices, it said, while cement price rises could be attributed largely to strong demand from construction domestically.

RBI announces its annual monetary policy review tomorrow, 29 April 2008

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