Friday, March 7, 2008

India and China likely to outgrow US economy by 2050: PriceWaterhouseCoopers

In what could be a tectonic shift in the global economic centre of gravity, the size of India's economy would grow to 90 per cent of the US by 2050, with China becoming even bigger than the world's current largest economy, according to a PriceWaterhouseCoopers report.

"The global centre of economic gravity is already shifting to China, India and other large emerging economies and our analysis suggests that this process has a lot further to run. Our latest projections suggest that China could overtake the US in around 2025 to become the world's largest economy and will continue to grow to around 130 per cent of the size of the US by 2050," it said.

India could grow to almost 90 per cent of the size of the US by 2050, PwC Head of Macroeconomics John Hawksworth said.

The global advisory firm projected that Brazil seems likely to overtake Japan by 2050 to move to the fourth place, while Russia, Mexico and Indonesia all have the potential to have economies larger than those of Germany or the UK by the middle of this century.

The report titled "The World in 2050: Beyond the BRICs", says that long-term prospects for China, India and other so-called E7 economies (Brazil, Mexico, Russia, Indonesia and Turkey) are still upbeat, but an additional 13 emerging economies also have the potential to grow significantly faster than the established Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries.

Interestingly, India has emerged at the top of the GDP growth table, ahead of China, prepared by PwC, which is likely to slow down till 2050.

India's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is currently growing at 8.5 per cent is expected to slow down to 5.8 per cent in 2050, but still ahead of other emerging and developed economies.

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