Monday, January 31, 2011

Share market updates

The Indian rupee depreciated further against the US dollar on Friday with the USDINR Feb future contract reached 46.00 marks. In the interbank market, the spot USDINR reached 45.80 to close at 45.7475.

Symbol

Expiry

Open

High

Low

Close

Chg

% Chg

Volume

O.I.

USDINR

24-Feb-2011

45.8800

46.0650

45.8800

45.9925

0.1900

0.4148

3,501,120

677,620

EURINR

24-Feb-2011

62.7400

63.0875

62.7400

63.0500

0.1950

0.3102

99,803

41,189

GBPINR

24-Feb-2011

72.8000

73.0475

72.8000

72.9200

-0.0425

-0.0582

18,885

17,017

JPYINR

24-Feb-2011

55.4425

55.6500

55.4425

55.5500

0.2800

0.5066

13,088

10,080

The rupee depreciation has been attributed by rising current account deficit along with liquidation of foreign funds from the local stock market. Global funds sold $755 million more Indian equities than they bought this year through Jan. 25, exchange data show. Reserve Bank of India said on Jan. 25 that the current-account shortfall will equal 3.5 percent of gross domestic product in the fiscal year through March while the market participants expects the figure to be around 4% of GDP.

In cross pairs, the EURINR Feb contract closed up 19 paisa on gains in the EURUSD along with USDINR advances. It settled at 63.05, after posting a high of 63.08. The GBPINR closed almost flat, down by 4 paisa at 72.92.The Yen advanced against the Indian after falling on Thursday due to rating downgrade by the S&P. The Feb JPYINR contract closed at 55.55, up 28 paisa.

In the global market, the US dollar is witnessing safe haven buying following Egypt crisis. The euro fell as low as $1.3571 against the US dollar, having fallen about 0.2 percent from a New York close of $1.3608 on Friday, extending its decline further from a two-month high of $1.3760 marked last week.

USDINR Feb: The market is expected to take resistance at 46.25 levels and above that buying can be seen toward 46.35-46.40 levels. The support is seen at 46.02-46.05 levels. Buying at the support is ideal for the day.

EURINR Feb: The pair is expected to take resistance at 62.95-63.00 mark, below which upside should be limited. The opening suggests lower moves with support at 62.53 levels.

GBPINR Feb: The pair is expected to trade sideways for the session. The market is expected to see resistance at 73.21 levels and above that may see momentum buying. Support is seen at 72.98 and then 72.85.

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