Sunday, September 11, 2011

Infosys Technical Analysis report


Input interpretation:

    Infosys  (INFY)


    Latest trade:

    $47.17 (Rs2200.50)(INFY | ADR | NASDAQ | Saturday 1:29:59 am IST | 42 hrs ago)

    Recent returns:

    day | month | YTD | year | 5 year\n-5.75% | -11.65% | -37.57% | -21.89% | +14.2%


    Analyst ratings:

    moderate buy  (mean score: 2.44)(Friday, September 9, 2011)\n(16  analysts)

    Performance comparisons:

     | average daily return | daily volatility | annual return | annual volatility\nINFY | -0.097% | 2.02% | -21.89% | 32.26%\nORCL | +0.031% | 1.88% | +8.26% | 30.05%\nMSFT | +0.037% | 1.38% | +10.03% | 22.09%\nSP500 | +0.026% | 1.19% | +6.91% | 18.98%\nbonds | +0.01% | 0.27% | +2.52% | 4.24%\nT-bills | +0.0003% | 0% | +0.08% | 0%\n\n


    Correlation matrix:

     | INFY | ORCL | MSFT | SP500\nINFY | 1 | 0.565 | 0.532 | 0.683\nORCL | 0.565 | 1 | 0.602 | 0.745\nMSFT | 0.532 | 0.602 | 1 | 0.71\nSP500 | 0.683 | 0.745 | 0.71 | 1


    Daily return analysis:

    return histograms\n


    Projections:

    \n 50% range, 1 month | $44.97 (-4.7%) to $50.46 (+7.0%)\n95% range, 1 month | $40.30 (-14.6%) to $56.31 (+19.4%)\n50% range, 1 year | $43.48 (-7.8%) to $64.73 (+37.2%)\n95% range, 1 year | $29.76 (-36.9%) to $94.58 (+100.5%)\n(log-normal random walks based on historical parameters)


    Daily returns versus S&P 500:

    \n\nalpha | 10.56%\nbeta | 1.230\nR^2 | 0.558


    Company information:

    company name | Infosys\nsector | application software\nlocation | Bengaluru, Karnataka, India\nwebsite | www.infosys.com

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