Tuesday, December 4, 2012

US debt expected to cross $17 trillion by April

The rate of increase in US external debt holidngs seems to be acceleration.

US total external debt has crossed its GDP figures in November 2011. It took hardly another year for it to add another trillion to cross $16 trillion in September 2012. Now in just 2 months, debt seems to have galloped by another 340 million.

At this rate by the end March or early April, it will cross the 17 trillion mark, making it 110 % of US GDP.

What is to be noted is that at teh current bond yields, it will easily consume almost 2 % of US GDP growth to pay off the interest of US's external borrowings.

Hence for US economy to growth by 1 % , it in fact has to effectively grow by 3 %.


OMCs Incurring Daily Under-Recoveries of Rs 420 Crore


The Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC) under the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas has reviewed international prices of crude oil and petroleum products during the 2nd Fortnight of November 2012. Accordingly, the under-recovery on High Speed Diesel (HSD) applicable for Ist fortnight of December effective 01.12.2012 has increased to Rs 10.03/Litre. This was Rs 9.06 per litre effective 16.11.2012 for 2nd fortnight of November 2012. In case of Domestic LPG the under-recovery for December 2012 has risen sharply to Rs 520.50/cylinder against Rs 478.50/ Cylinder for November 2012. The Under-recovery on PDS Kerosene too has remained at high level of Rs 30.93 per litre for December 2012, though slightly lower than Rs 31.30 per litre for November 2012

            Product-wise Under-recoveries of Public Sector Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs);

Product
Unit
Under-recoveries effective December 01,  2012
(Effective 16.11.2012 to 30.11.2012)
Diesel
Rs/Litre
               10.03      (9.06)             
PDS Kerosene*
Rs/Litre
                30.93     (31.30)   
Domestic LPG*
Rs/Cylinder
            520.50  (478.50)

*Additionally, a subsidy of Rs 0.82/Litre on PDS Kerosene and Rs 22.58/Cylinder on Domestic LPG is provided by the Government. The under-recoveries on these products are computed on monthly basis.

 OMCs are currently (effective 01 December 2012) incurring daily under-recovery of about Rs 420 crore on the sale of Diesel, PDS Kerosene and Domestic LPG. This was Rs 412 crore per day for the previous fortnight effective 16.11.2012.

Further, the OMC’s have reported the following under-recoveries during April-September 2012: 

Product
Under Recovery (Rs/Crore)

2012-13
(April-September  2012)
2011-12
2010-11
Diesel
52,711
81,192
34,706
PDS Kerosene
14,331
27,352
19,484
Domestic LPG
18,544
29,997
21,772
Petrol
--
--
2,227
Total
85,586
138,541
78,190
 3. Details of average International FOB price and Exchange rates are:

Particulars
Unit
Price on last trading day i.e., 30 November, 2012 (Previous trading day of 29.11.2012)
Fortnight
November)16-30, 2012
(previous fortnight 1 - 15/11/ 2012)
Crude Oil (Indian Basket)
($/bbl)
              109.51        ( 108.24)
                  108.94  (106.69)        
(Rs /bbl)
            5971.58      ( 5974.85)
                6010.22(5797.53)      
Exchange Rate
(Rs/$)
               54.53          ( 55.20)                 
                    55.17    (54.34)